Intelligence scales are used to qualify pieces of information or assessments.

They communicate the degree of certainty or uncertainty.

Likelihood

The likelihood scale is a measure of how likely we believe something is to happen or be true based on the available information. We use a composite likelihood that factors in both how likely something is, and how strong the available evidence is.

 Very Unlikely (<20%)

Unlikely (20% to 40%)

Possible (40% to 60%)

Likely (60% to 80%)

Very Likely (>80%)

Veracity

Veracity describes how trusthworthy a source is. Factors considered include whether it is a primary source, historical accuracy of source, and source access.

Very Low (<20%)

Low (20% to 40%)

Moderate (40% to 60%)

High (60% to 80%)

Very High (>80%)