Intelligence scales are used to qualify pieces of information or assessments.
They communicate the degree of certainty or uncertainty.
Likelihood
The likelihood scale is a measure of how likely we believe something is to happen or be true based on the available information. We use a composite likelihood that factors in both how likely something is, and how strong the available evidence is.
Very Unlikely (<20%)
Unlikely (20% to 40%)
Possible (40% to 60%)
Likely (60% to 80%)
Very Likely (>80%)
Veracity
Veracity describes how trusthworthy a source is. Factors considered include whether it is a primary source, historical accuracy of source, and source access.
Very Low (<20%)
Low (20% to 40%)
Moderate (40% to 60%)
High (60% to 80%)
Very High (>80%)